Who will win Brazil’s 2026 presidential election?
Verified
Closed Resolves
Resolution criteria
The candidate marked elected in the TSE’s first completed national presidential count. “Another candidate” covers anyone other than the two named options. Media projections don’t count; later changes won’t alter the resolution. If delayed, wait until 31 December, 23:59 UTC; without an official result by then, resolve ambiguous and don’t score forecasts.
Forecasting closed
This question closed on . Forecasting is over.
Community forecast
Community forecast is not available yet.
1 eligible forecaster
TSE first completed national count: LULA marked Eleito, 51.79%; all 499,248 sections totalled (tf=s, and=f). Generated 26 Oct 2026 02:27 UTC. https://resultados.tse.jus.br/oficial/ele2026/6258/dados/br/br-c0001-e006258-u.json
Revision history
- live verified
bafyreih47gbja…Published. 1 forecast on this version
Forecasts (1 person)
- Flávio Bolsonaro 80%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) 20%Another candidate 0%
