Which party will win a majority of US House seats in the 2026 midterms?
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Closes Resolves
Resolution criteria
A majority means winning at least 218 of the 435 voting seats. Count certified results from the regular 2026 elections, including runoffs completed by 31 January 2027. Use the candidates’ election-day party affiliations; later party switches or vacancies don’t change the answer. If outstanding results could still change the answer at that cutoff, resolve ambiguous and unscored.
Your forecast
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Answer options
- Democratic Party
- Republican Party
- Neither party
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Community forecast
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1 eligible forecaster
Revision history
- live verified
bafyreigtlgd2e…- Tags
- #us added #politics added #elections added
1 forecast on this version
- superseded verified
bafyreifowo4ye…Published.