Forecasting record
Hamish
@polemic.nz
Questions
3
Forecasts
7
Resolutions
1
Reputation
Hamish’s reputation appears once 10 of the questions they’ve forecast have resolved — 1 so far.
Questions resolved as ambiguous or annulled don’t count.
Resolver track record
1 question resolved · 0% disputed (0) · 0% annulled (0)
Resolution is data, not authority — appviews decide which resolvers to trust.
Recent questions
Recent forecasts
- 50% Will the RBNZ raise, hold, or cut the OCR on 28 October 2026?
- 79% Will Liam Lawson be awarded a 2027 F1 Driver Contract
- 50% Which party will win a majority of US House seats in the 2026 midterms?
- 50% Which party will win the most party votes in New Zealand’s 2026 general election?
- 88% Will the Greens increase their party-vote share compared with 2023?
- 43% Will National, ACT and New Zealand First together win a majority of seats in New Zealand’s 2026 election?
- 72% Will the Opportunity Party win at least 5% of the party vote in New Zealand’s 2026 election?