Forecasting record
Piotr
@piotr.id
Questions
2
Forecasts
22
Resolutions
2
Reputation
Piotr’s reputation appears once 10 of the questions they’ve forecast have resolved — 8 so far.
Questions resolved as ambiguous or annulled don’t count.
Resolver track record
2 questions resolved · 0% disputed (0) · 50% annulled (1)
Resolution is data, not authority — appviews decide which resolvers to trust.
Recent questions
Recent forecasts
- 50% Will the RBNZ raise, hold, or cut the OCR on 9 December 2026?
- 50% Will the RBNZ raise, hold, or cut the OCR on 28 October 2026?
- 77% Will Liam Lawson be awarded a 2027 F1 Driver Contract
- 50% Who will win the 2026 WNBA championship?
- 50% Which party will control the US Senate after the 2026 midterms?
- 85% Will the Greens increase their party-vote share compared with 2023?
- 45% Will National, ACT and New Zealand First together win a majority of seats in New Zealand’s 2026 election?
- 65% Will the Opportunity Party win at least 5% of the party vote in New Zealand’s 2026 election?
- 50% Which party will win the most party votes in New Zealand’s 2026 general election?
- 50% Who will win Brazil’s 2026 presidential election?
- 15% Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026?
- 50% How many users will Bluesky report having at the end of 2026?
- 1% Will Tesla make Optimus available to an outside customer by the end of 2026?
- 50% Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup final: 🇦🇷 Argentina or 🇪🇸 Spain?
- 20% Will the FIFA World Cup 2026 final be decided by a penalty shoot-out?
- 75% Will Mathieu van der Poel win any of Stages 13–21 of the 2026 Tour de France?
- 100% Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour de France?
- 90% Will Bluesky make private community spaces available to users by the end of 2026?
- 51% Will France win the FIFA World Cup 2026