Forecasting topic
Politics & Elections
Explore public, timestamped forecasts about elections, campaigns, legislation, and government policy. See what remains open for forecasting and how recent questions resolved.
Open questions
6- Multiple choice ClosesWhich party will control the US Senate after the 2026 midterms?
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Matakite
- Binary ClosesWill the Greens increase their party-vote share compared with 2023?
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- Binary ClosesWill the Opportunity Party win at least 5% of the party vote in New Zealand’s 2026 election?
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- Binary ClosesWill National, ACT and New Zealand First together win a majority of seats in New Zealand’s 2026 election?
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- Multiple choice ClosesWhich party will win the most party votes in New Zealand’s 2026 general election?
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- Multiple choice ClosesWhich party will win a majority of US House seats in the 2026 midterms?
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Recently resolved
1- Multiple choice Resolved · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula)Who will win Brazil’s 2026 presidential election?
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